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SENTIMENT INDICATORS There are numerous sentiment
indicators in technical analysis. In this section we will
provide investor sentiment.
If momentum indicators
look at the strength of a move, sentiment measures look at the way
investors react to the move. Sentiment figures are considered a
contrarian indicator in that excessive bullishness is a bearish sign
and vice versa. When investors are optimistic, most of the buying
has been done. By contrast, when there is disinterest or
bearishness, most of the selling is out of the way. For example, if you study the stock sentiment
figures (select Dow
Jones Industrial Average), you will notice that an extreme change in
the sentiment figure often is coincident with an important change in the trend of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
There are four
well-known sentiment indicators: Investors Intelligence, Consensus
Inc., American Association of Individual Investors, and Market Vane
Corp. We utilize Market Vane’s proprietary figures in this
report. Market Vane does a daily survey of commodity newsletter
writers, asks opinions on stocks and bond futures as well as various
commodities. An 80% or higher reading means this measure indicates
an upside extreme in sentiment, while a 30% or lower reading
indicates a downside extreme in sentiment.
We concentrate on four markets; stocks bonds, crude oil and
gold. To see what current sentiment is on any of these
sectors, select your choice below:
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Any opinions made in this report are those of the
individual making them and may or may not be those of
Shields & Company. Shields & Company, its affiliates
and subsidiaries and/or their employees may from time
to time acquire, hold or sell a position in the
securities mentioned herein. While this report has
been prepared from original sources and data we
believe reliable, we make no representations as to its
accuracy or completeness, and our opinion is subject
to change without notice. Additional information is
available upon request.
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